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This One Is Thriving in a Recession


When is

coming out of a recessionpotentially a bad thing? When
you're in the business of saving your customers money. As
customers loosen their purse strings a little, they may be
less interested in your services.

<p>When is 
      
      coming out of a recessionpotentially a bad thing? When
      you're in the business of saving your customers money. As
      customers loosen their purse strings a little, they may be
      less interested in your services.</p>

So far though, pharmacy benefits manager Medco Health Solutions (NYSE: MHS) seems to be doing pretty well, and the future is looking pretty healthy, too.

In the third quarter, earnings, excluding charges related to its spinoff from Merck (NYSE: MRK)
six years ago, were up 19% year over year. Revenue was up only 17.8%,
but more trickled to the bottom line because Medco made more from each
prescription as members increased their usage of generic drugs, from
which Medco gets a higher margin.

The only place where Medco seems to have slipped a little in the
quarter was in its mail-order business, where volume was down 2.3%. It
would be better to see the company capture all the revenue from a
prescription rather than split it with retail pharmacies run by Walgreen (NYSE: WAG), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), or, worse, rival CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS).
The good news is that the decrease was entirely because of members
filling fewer prescriptions for high-priced brand-name drugs -- the
recession strikes again; mail-order prescriptions for generic drugs
were up 1.4%.

Next year looks just as good for Medco. As rival Express Scripts (Nasdaq: ESRX) prepares to grow through an acquisition of WellPoint's (NYSE: WLP)
pharmaceutical business management division, NextRx, Medco is growing
the old-fashioned way. The company has kept 99% of its customers for
next year while signing up $4 billion worth of new business.

The new business may be a forecast of how companies think we'll have
a slow recovery, but it could be good for investors because pharmacy
benefits managers can help those companies lower their expenses. In
either case, it's great news for Medco and its investors.

© 2009 UCLICK, L.L.C.

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