You didn't hear about the T-Rex in Pawtucket?
Oh
OK, we'll fess up: Dinosaurs remain extinct. Which means that an
average American outlives an average large-sized American corporation
by a factor of two or more.
Two years ago, we wrote a column advocating that investors look for companies with the following four characteristics:
- Built to last for 100 years or more.
- Little-known, yet dominating their growing industries.
- Steered by committed management teams.
- Governed by the highest corporate values.
Little did we realize just how preposterous it is that companies
would be built for "100 years or more"! In fact, according to Arie de
Geus, author of The Living Company, "a full one-third of the
companies listed in the 1970 Fortune 500 … had vanished by 1983 --
acquired, merged, or broken to pieces."
Professor Jeremy Siegel's meticulously researched book The Future for Investors
studied the original companies of the S&P 500, which was put
together in 1957. Of those 500 companies, Siegel found, just 25%
survived intact to 2003! Over that 46-year span, the other 75% (fully
375 companies) went bankrupt, merged, or were taken private.
That's our advice: Invest in unicorns and sasquatches
This
doesn't invalidate our earlier advice -- that you should look to invest
in businesses built to last for 100 years or more. If you can do that,
after all, you'll align yourself with managers who are thinking
long-term rather than short-term.
It does, however, make an elite group of U.S. businesses stand out
even more -- for one shared trait that is almost as unbelievable as
unicorns and sasquatches. Before we get to that trait, let's look at
that List of Five:
-
Colgate-Palmolive (NYSE: CL).
In today's uncertain economy, it recently increased its dividend 10%;
it has been paying dividends without interruption since 1895.
-
Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT). In February, Abbott raised its dividend for the 37th consecutive year; it's been paying a dividend since 1924.
-
Emerson Electric (NYSE: EMR). Has raised its dividend for 52 straight years.
-
United Technologies (NYSE: UTX). Has paid a dividend every quarter since 1936.
-
Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB). Has raised dividends to shareholders for 37 straight years.
These five businesses have far surpassed the average -- each dates
back at least 70 years. Even more impressive: Each has been paying a
dividend for more than half a century.
We've written a lot about global stocks
lately, but if you're a gun-shy investor looking for stocks on which to
build your retirement foundation, dividend stocks are a vital arrow in
your quiver.
Here's why
The benefit of dividends to
shareholders is clear: You get paid cash each and every year regardless
of whether the underlying stock is up, down, or indifferent.
Furthermore, you can pocket that cash or use it to buy more shares of
stock. Dividends, however, also have a benefit to the companies that
pay them, and we think it's no coincidence that these long-lasting
companies are all dividend payers.
That's because dividends -- and the need to be consistent in paying them once a company starts
paying them -- force companies to be responsible with their cash. In
fact, a recent paper by Douglas Skinner and Eugene Soltes of the
University of Chicago found that dividend-paying companies have better
earnings quality than their non-dividend-paying peers, and that
"dividend-payers are less likely to report losses" [emphasis added]. And because companies only go out of business when they start losing money, it's clear that companies that don't lose money won't go out of business.
So there's one little secret when you're seeking companies that are
being built to last 100 years: Look for stocks that pay dividends.
It's not all joy in Dividend-ville
Of
course, there are no sure things, and that's just as true with longtime
dividend payers as it is in, say, horse racing. Even worse, the
economic downturn has forced a number of former "dividend dynasties" to
cut or even do away with their dividend -- Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) and Citigroup (NYSE: C)
are two high-profile examples. Thus, it's as critical now as ever to
carefully scrutinize any stock you choose to invest in and diversify
your portfolio broadly across a collection of superior companies.
If you're interested in doing just that, click here to join our Motley Fool Income Investor
service free for 30 days. The dividend fiends there run a model
portfolio of their top dividend-stock ideas, and with yields creeping
up recently as the stock market has dropped, their hunting grounds are
as fertile as ever.
Join up and you'll enjoy immediate access to their six "buy first" dividend payers.
© 2009 UCLICK, L.L.C.
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