In the latter area, BP turned in a yeoman's performance. In fact,
the company apparently has already met its $2 billion cost-reduction
target for this year, and maintains that it could reach up to $3
billion in reductions before year end. And CEO Tony Hayward has
promised "plenty more" savings in 2010 as costs continue to recede.
Nevertheless, in the most recent quarter, the company was hit -- as
the other majors will be -- by a tough combination of reduced oil and
gas prices on the one hand and skimpy refinery margins on the other.
The result was a 53% slide in net income to $4.39 billion, from $9.36
billion a year ago.
All was not lost, however, since BP not only beat analyst estimates
but bested its results for the initial quarter of 2009, when it earned
just $2.56 billion. For the most recent quarter, the company's
replacement cost profit, which backs out the effects of inventory
holdings, was $3.14 billion, versus $6.75 billion a year earlier.
So now, with the reporting ice for the integrated companies having been broken, ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) followed closely behind today, ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) will take care of Thursday, and then Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and Total (NYSE: TOT) will finish off the month on Friday.
Along with matching BP's cost cutting, it'll be a tough slog for the
other companies to measure up to its production performance. For the
quarter, the company increased its oil and gas output by more than 4%
above the comparable quarter a year ago, partly attributable to the
start-up of production from its Thunder Horse
field in the Gulf of Mexico. The company was also busy in other parts
of the world, making its eighteenth discovery in a single block
offshore Angola.
But with all these positives, Mr. Hayward was hardly giddy. In fact,
he noted, "We see little evidence of any growth in demand and expect
the recovery to be long and drawn-out."
So, should you buy BP or any of its peers? That, it seems to me,
depends on your time frame. If you have at least two years to squirrel
away some shares, you'd probably be wise to do so. My favorites
continue to be Exxon and, yes, BP.
Copyright 2009 by United Press International.
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